![]() ![]() So Schwartz is calling for significantly above-average snowfall and the possibility of a particularly brutal winter, assuming those solar cycles prove to me useful as a predictive tool, and Tynan is basically saying, Well, we might get a decent amount of snow, but who can really say? She then goes on to say that Philly could get anywhere from 18 to 24 inches … the key word being could. “Honestly, this is a low confidence forecast,” Tynan says, and I, for one, really appreciate the candor. Tynan then calls into question the validity of anything that she’s said or is about to say. So that must mean that we’re in for a severe winter, right? Well, not so much, says Tynan, who then goes on to say that there is “very limited correlation between severe weather season and the winter that follows.” Phew!Īfter going through an explanation and analysis of things like the ENSO signal and water temperature anomalies, Tynan gets down to the truth of the matter and actually has a Magic 8-Ball visual pop up on the screen, nodding to the uncertainty of all of this. Accompanied by lots of video of crazy weather, Tynan notes that “this winter comes on the heels of one of our most active severe weather seasons on record,” with a drastic increase in tornadic activity for both New Jersey and Pennsylvania. Meaning, we could be in for one helluva winter, and Schwartz is calling for as much as 35 inches of snow.Īs for Tynan, her long-range winter forecast for Philadelphia starts out rather dramatically. The epic blizzard of 1996? That also took place during the low point in the cycle. Our snowiest winter ever? (That would be the winter of 2009–2010.) Yep. The most interesting point of Schwartz’s forecast involves his analysis of solar activity cycles.Īs Schwartz explains it, we are at the low point of the solar activity cycle, and some of our snowiest winters have been when we are at the same low point in that cycle. He eats alphabet soup and finds weather-related acronyms in the bowl. ![]() But his Thursday broadcast was downright bizarre, and, frankly, kind of embarrassing to watch. He’s normally reserved and very science-y, not one to easily succumb to the buffoonery of local TV news. I’m not sure what is going on with Schwartz. They are very different from one other, and not just in their predictions themselves. Why Do You People Hate Meteorologists So Much?Ĭecily Tynan Beats Hurricane Schwartz in Long-Range Winter Forecast Battle Can We Just Stop With Those Stupid Long-Range Winter Forecasts? ![]()
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